NFL And College Picks — Week 7


Last Week ATS: 8-10-1

This Week: 1-0 (Auburn -2 given out on FSB Facebook yesterday)

Last Week ML: 1-2 (-.70 units)

2015 Season ATS: 38-48-2 (44%)

2015 Season ML: 3-5 (+2.05 units)

2014 Season ATS: 77-48-5


Welp, 44% for the season, not very good! If the season ended today, I’d definitely have Redskins era Steve Spurrier deliver the post mortem. Check the link below for his press conference from what would end up being his last media appearance with the Redskins. Comedy gold.

Spurriers resignation from South Carolina this week surely disappointed all the media that covers him; the guy is a walking soundbite.

Speaking of resigning, perhaps I should resign from making football picks this season. My picks last weekend were like the modern day setlist of a 70’s classic rock band. I opened up with some hits (started 5-1 and hit a +130 ML) and came out for a strong encore (2-1-1 in the NFL). In between? Lots of new songs and a few ballads off of my solo album (1-8 down the stretch on Saturday). 

This weekend has started off 1-0, but I need some big time winning weekends soon or there might not be a Christmas. The college board features a number of outstanding games, but the NFL board looks miserable. 

Can’t we fast forward to the Patriots/Packers Super Bowl already?

Anyways, on to the picks. Hopefully I’m not making this face after the weekend is over.


Lines courtesy of For entertainment purposes only.


Iowa -1.5: No one would have expected this to be a big game in the Big 10 race, but here we are. Iowa has been bit by the injury bug, but the line has crept in their favor even though the betting action is leaning Northwestern. Hawkeyes run defense will replicate what happened to Northwestern last weekend, turning them one dimensional and unable to move the ball. Iowa remains unbeaten.

Mississippi State -13.5: The Bulldogs defensive coordinator was at Louisiana Tech last year in the same role, so he knows the offense. Miss State QB Dak Prescott only played 4 series last week after coming down with a stomach flu on game day, so look for him to be well rested for this game. 

East Carolina -13: Tulsa hasn’t had a cakewalk with a schedule that includes Oklahoma and Houston, but ECU’s schedule has been extremely impressive, with games against Florida, Navy, BYU and Virginia Tech. Tulsa pairs a high powered offense with a miserable defense, and the Pirates have owned this series recently. Public opinion is that Tulsa is getting too many points. The line move from -10 to -13 says otherwise. 

Georgia Tech -3: Because when a 2-4 team in the middle of a 4 game losing streak is a favorite over a 4-1 team, I don’t ask many questions. Yellow Jackets 4 losses are to teams with a combined 3 losses.

Michigan -7: “Fade The Public” should be a mantra, but not a law when picking games. However, when fading the public means you are betting on a team that has given up 38 points ALL SEASON and means you are betting against a team that hasn’t covered the spread once this year, then fade away.

North Carolina -17: Outside of their opener against Elon, Wake Forest has broken 20 points in a game once (24 points vs Indiana). The Heels come in off a bye and will be ready to spread their wings against Wake. The public thinks this is too many points, but once the Heels grab a double digit lead this one could snowball quickly.

Ohio State -18.5: The Buckeyes haven’t covered since Labor Day weekend. The Nittany Lions haven’t played a game outside the state of Pennsylvania all season, including 5 straight at home. Give me the better team laying less than 3 TDs against the public dog that hasn’t left their backyard all season. 



Eagles -4: Riding with this questionable side again after they got us to the window last week. The Giants come in very banged up and the line being north of 3 points smells like they are begging you to take Big Blue. 

One thought on “NFL And College Picks — Week 7

  • October 18, 2015 at 12:14 pm

    Adding: Jets -7.5


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